Saturday, February 26, 2011 - 12:25 PM
THE CABLES
AFRICA
Muammar al-Qaddafi's kids are a real piece of work.
Qaddafi worried about a U.S. military presence in Africa.
Bernie Madoff once discussed investment opportunities with Qaddafi.
AMERICAS
Colombian President Alvaro Uribe OK'd "clandestine operations" against FARC rebels across the border in Venezuela.
U.S. Ambassador to Colombia (and later Afghanistan) William Wood was not aware of the top Colombian military leader's dodgy résumé.
The U.S. Chamber of Commerce tried to take down Nicaragua's Daniel Ortega.
ASIA
China used U.S. debt obligations to pressure the United States on arms sales to Taiwan.
For the first time since World War II, Japan is building a full-blown foreign intelligence agency.
EUROPE/CAUCASUS
U.S. diplomats pushed Norway to buy American-made fighter jets.
Britain blocked an arms sale to Swaziland over fears the weapons could end up in Iran.
MIDDLE EAST
Bahrain's crown prince is not a big fan of the whole democracy thing.
THE NEWS
A British judge rules in favor of Julian Assange's extradition to Sweden.
George W. Bush doesn't like the idea of sharing a stage with Assange.
Gaddafi's "voluptuous nurse" has had enough of Libya.
WikiLeaks cable revelations are factoring in Peru's 2011 elections.
PayPal freezes the account of a group raising defense funds for Pfc. Bradley Manning.
More on HBGary, the cybersecurity firm that tried to take down WikiLeaks' supporters.
WikiLeaks now has a gift shop.
Anonymous makes "The Colbert Report" (slightly NSFW)
THE BIG PICTURE
FP looks at WikiLeaks in our new March/April issue, including contributions from Fouad Ajami, Peter W. Galbraith, Margaret MacMillan, Maya Jasanoff, and Marjorie Garber.
EXPLORE:AFRICA, ARAB WORLD, EAST ASIA, EUROPE, LATIN AMERICA, MIDDLE EAST, NORTH AMERICA, BORDERS, BRITAIN, BUSH'S LEGACY, CHINA, CULTURE, DEMOCRACY, DIPLOMACY, DRUGS & CRIME, ECONOMICS, ELECTIONS, HISTORY, INTELLIGENCE, INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, IRAN, JAPAN, JUSTICE, LAW, LIBYA, MEDIA, MILITARY, OBAMA ADMINISTRATION, POLITICS, SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY, SECURITY, STATE DEPARTMENT, U.S. FOREIGN POLICY, WIKILEAKS
Monday, February 7, 2011 - 12:06 PM

WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange is back in court today for extradition hearings that could see him sent to Sweden to face allegations of sexual assault. Assange's lawyers -- who have already expressed concerns about extradition to the United States and the alleged threat of illegal rendition there -- were today crying foul that Assange could face a closed-door trial if returned to Sweden. (Crimes involving sexual misconduct or minors are often closed to the public for privacy reasons.) For a self-proclaimed transparency revolutionary, such secrecy does seem the ultimate punishment.
But what strikes me about the ongoing hearings is the idea -- insinuated in Assange's defense -- that Britain and Sweden are buying time for the United States, which is presumably still working to build a case against the WikiLeaks founder. Assange's legal team has expressed repeated concern about his extradition to the United States -- not from Britain but from Sweden, despite the fact that both countries have extradition agreements with the United States. (In fact, it appears to my very untrained legal eye that the British-U.S. extradition agreement, signed in 2003, is very favorable toward allowing extradition; the burden of proof is virtually nil for the country requesting the extradition.)
In the meantime, all this buying time on both sides seems like it might actually be useful to Assange, who is passing his days in a mansion just outside London -- probably a much more conducive work environment than being on the run. If the productivity of the WikiLeaks site is any indication, that's true: The pace of cables being released picked up over the weekend.
BEN STANSALL/AFP/Getty Images.
Monday, February 7, 2011 - 10:26 AM
British diplomatic officials don't exactly mince words about Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari. From a WikiLeaked U.S. State Department cable sent from the London embassy several days before Zardari -- who had replaced his wife, Benazir Bhutto, on the ballot following her assassination the previous year -- won Pakistan's 2008 presidential election:
[British Foreign and Commonwealth Office] Pakistan Team Leader Laura Hickey told us September 3 that HMG [the British government] fully expects Pakistan People's Party (PPP) leader Asif Zardari to win Pakistan's presidency on September 6, but it is unlikely he will retain the position for long. In HMG estimation, Zardari has no popular support, is strongly disliked within his own party, is not trust-worthy, and is unable to deliver on the countless promises he has recently made to win support in his bid for the presidency. Absent popular support or military backing, Zardari will be unable to hold onto the presidency. HMG projects that he will encumber the top position for six to 12 months, and there will be elections before Zardari completes his term.
The cable goes on to note that "As far as [counterterrorism] and security cooperation are concerned, Zardari is not at odds with UK and U.S. interests. [The British government], however, finds it unlikely that he will be able to deliver because he is an ineffective leader who has 'no plans and no strategy.'"
Hickey was wrong about Zardari's longevity -- he's been in office for 29 months and counting -- but wasn't far off the mark on everything else.
EXPLORE:EUROPE, SOUTH ASIA, BRITAIN, DEMOCRACY, DIPLOMACY, ELECTIONS, PAKISTAN, STATE DEPARTMENT, WIKILEAKS
Monday, February 7, 2011 - 9:42 AM
One of the last U.N. resolutions put forward by George W. Bush's administration was an ambitious plan to get blue-helmeted peacekeepers in Somalia. The bid came in January 2009, just when Ethiopian troops were withdrawing from the country, having invaded two years earlier with U.S. support. African Union (AU) peacekeepers were already working to prop up Somalia's transitional government, but the Bush administration wanted to go further, first boosting support for the AU and then sending in the U.N. forces as backup.
But the United States met opposition to the measure from an unlikely foe: Britain. In a cable written just a month earlier, U.S. diplomats in London summarized Her Majesty's Government's opposition to the peacekeeping mission:
"senior British government officials assess that "there is not enough peace to keep in Somalia" and that "there is a greater than 50 percent chance that the Djibouti process [which installed the transitional Somali government] will fail."… HMG is not convinced by arguments that a potential security vacuum following a possible Ethiopian and AMISOM withdrawal would necessarily allow al-Shabaab to take control of southern Somalia, as there are many actors who will be competing for primacy in various areas, in the British view. A more likely outcome, HMG assesses, is a situation similar to medieval Italy, where different actors control and secure small pockets around the country.
Then, there's the technical objections:
HMG thinks that force generation will be almost impossible and that troops identified will likely be inadequately trained for such a difficult security environment and reconstruction task. It would be "irresponsible" to put ill-trained and poorly equipped troops in such a complicated peacekeeping operation. Additionally, HMG is seriously concerned about the UN's peacekeeping reputation, if such a mission were to fail, especially in the wake of UNAMID's [the U.N. peacekeeping mission in Darfur, Sudan] lack-luster deployment. The UN's peacekeeping reputation is extremely important to HMG. Moreover, HMG's peacekeeping budget is over-stretched and likely to be decreasing. HMG does not want to commit the UN to a long-term mission without re-assurance that the effort will be funded.
Some of that British realism must have made an impact in Washington -- or at least at the U.N. Security Council in New York. Despite repeated resolutions to back the African Union peacekeeping mission, no U.N. peacekeepers have yet been deployed, now two years later. (Not that Britain was the only one offering these critiques -- many analysts, myself included, said the same.)
Interestingly, however, in recent years Britain has stepped in to boost one of the areas of concern: troop preparation for AU peacekeepers in Somalia. A January 2010 cable describes Britain's push for n European Union program to train 1,000 soldiers in Uganda over 12 months. "If approved," the cable claims, "the UK's new resources for Somalia will represent a significant shift in the UK's Somalia policy, especially in a resource-scarce environment, where funding for many of the UK's programs around the world is being reduced."
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Sunday, February 6, 2011 - 9:48 AM
Over the weekend, WikiLeaks decided to drop what (if memory serves) is its largest single release to date from its cache of U.S. State Department emails, almost all of them from the U.S. Embassy in London over the past few years. We'll be picking through the good bits here over the next few days, although at first glance they seem short on blockbusters, which may explain why they haven't commanded much attention in the media. (That, and the whole dumping-hundreds-of-cables-on-a-Friday-night thing.)
The London cables mostly concern foreign policy issues where Britain's interests are closely aligned with the United States', the war in Afghanistan among them; the effort to thread the needle between the British government's commitment to the war and waning support for it among the British public is a common theme. One cable offers a lengthy account of then British Foreign Secretary David Miliband's November 2008 meeting with Afghan President Hamid Karzai in Kabul, in which Karzai tells Miliband (in the cable's paraphrase) that "it would be difficult or impossible to hold a credible Presidential election" the following year in Afghanistan, ticking off five particularly problematic provinces. (On that much, he was right.)
Karzai also expresses optimism about the United States' new president-elect, Barack Obama, but in his conversation with Miliband you can see the seeds of the estrangement between the Afghan and American presidents that would characterize the years that followed. There's the issue of American-employed private contractors, who Karzai would order out of his country in August 2010:
Afghanistan wanted to end the way in which the Americans sub-contracted major parts of their aid program to "doubtful contractors." He was also concerned that many of the private security companies were little more than "criminal organizations." The same applied to some of the transport companies used by the U.S.; it had become apparent to Karzai that the transport companies were responsible for much of the insecurity on the highways, in order to extract higher fees and insurance payments from the Americans.
Karzai also tells Miliband that he's leery about the United States dispatching more soldiers to his country:
Karzai emphasized that more U.S. troops were not the answer. He hoped the Americans would consult the Afghan Government before sending more troops. Karzai said that the U.S. had failed to send the troops for which Karzai had asked in 2002, but now it might be too late.
Miliband brings up the inevitable question of how all of this ends, and according to the cable suggests that "reconciliation" -- presumably with the Taliban -- "subject to strict conditions, would obviously be part of that."
Karzai agreed, saying that he had consulted "the whole Afghan people," and they were all in favor of reconciliation. They wanted to "bring over the good guys, while excluding the bad guys." Karzai realizes that the U.S., Russia and Iran had doubts about reconciliation, but this was something that the Afghan people wanted, and which he was bound to press ahead.
Friday, February 4, 2011 - 3:22 PM
THE CABLES
AFRICA
The Libyan frogman who couldn't swim.
AMERICAS
The FBI pursues a team of alleged Qatari would-be 9/11 conspirators in the United States.
ASIA
The rift between Washington and Beijing is deeper than either government would like you to think.
The United States' secret space arms race with China.
EUROPE/CAUCASUS
A Croatian man tries to get back at his ex-girlfriend by telling U.S. embassy officials that she's hanging out with Osama bin Laden.
Making an oil and gas deal in Russia is really complicated.
MIDDLE EAST
What U.S. diplomats in Cairo knew about Hosni Mubarak's human rights abuses -- and the time they did something about it.
Newly appointed Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman is close to Mubarak and foreign intelligence agencies, but not Mubarak's son. And a lot of people seem to think Mubarak's new deputy prime minister is a bureaucratic dinosaur.
Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki accuses Syria and Iran of arming Iraqi militants.
Yemeni strongman Ali Abdullah Saleh wants his money.
U.S. diplomats doubt reforms are on the way in Jordan.
THE NEWS
Julian Assange is a long-shot contender for the Nobel Peace Prize, and appears on 60 Minutes. He also wants to go home.
More documents leak from the sex assault case against Assange in Sweden. They include a picture you really don't want to see.
Did WikiLeaks hack into New York Times reporters' email accounts?
WikiLeaks' release process has become so complicated that even the papers involved don't know what's a scoop anymore.
Amnesty International wants Britain to pressure the U.S. government over the treatment of Pfc. Bradley Manning.
THE BIG PICTURE
George W. Bush administration Assistant Attorney General Jack Goldsmith thinks Assange will be prosecuted in the United States.
Joe Klein on the damage WikiLeaks has wrought. Clay Shirky has a more philosophical take.
New York Times Executive Editor Bill Keller and Guardian Editor in Chief Alan Rusbridger talk WikiLeaks.
Forty-two percent of Americans have no idea what WikiLeaks is.
KHALED DESOUKI/AFP/Getty Images
EXPLORE:AFRICA, ARAB WORLD, EAST ASIA, MIDDLE EAST, NORTH AMERICA, BRITAIN, BUSH ADMINISTRATION, BUSINESS, CHINA, DEMOCRACY, DIPLOMACY, DRUGS & CRIME, EGYPT, ENERGY, HUMAN RIGHTS, INTELLIGENCE, INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, IRAN, IRAQ, JORDAN, MEDIA, OBAMA ADMINISTRATION, OIL, POLITICS, SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY, SECURITY, SYRIA, TERRORISM, U.S. FOREIGN POLICY, WIKILEAKS, YEMEN
Monday, January 31, 2011 - 7:24 PM
As WikiLeaks' media partners (official and otherwise) have multiplied, it's gotten harder to follow what are and aren't new revelations in the U.S. State Department cables; even some of the media outlets seem confused. Take Britain's Daily Telegraph, which has a big headline today detailing a scoop from an ostensibly new batch of cables detailing the British government's behind-the-scenes discussions of the release of Pan Am Flight 103 bomber Abdelbaset al-Megrahi. The Telegraph flags an October 2008 cable in which a British Foreign Office minister advises the Libyan government on how to request the compassionate release of Megrahi, who had recently been diagnosed with inoperable cancer.
Interesting stuff -- enough so that the Guardian published the cable and wrote about it early last month.
Leon Neal/AFP/Getty Images
Thursday, December 16, 2010 - 2:34 PM
Agence France-Presse reports from London:
WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange was set free on bail Thursday after a senior British judge ruled that he could be released on conditional bail.
Assange appeared on the steps of the High Court in London at 1800 GMT after several hours of haggling over his bail conditions and said: "It is great to smell the fresh air of London again."
Those conditions include that Assange remain on the grounds of a country estate in eastern Britain owned by Assange supporter Vaughan Smith -- a British army officer turned foreign correspondent and a colorful character in his own right who, in true freelance-journalist fashion, has already parlayed his hosting duties into an exclusive scoop.
BEN STANSALL/AFP/Getty Images
Friday, December 3, 2010 - 10:44 AM
An April 2008 cable describes a meeting between Sen. (then presidential candidate) John McCain and then British Conservative Party leader David Cameron. Much of the discussion focuses on Iraq, where McCain said he felt the security situation was improving, but still had concerns about developments in the South, particularly Basrah:
Cameron asked McCain what he thought was happening in the south of Iraq. McCain said he was very worried. He said it was like "Chicago in the 20's" and "could go at any time." The Iranians were there and the Iraqis were likely to find "the going to be extremely difficult." "Just because its quiet," said McCain, "doesn’t mean it's good. It is quiet for all the wrong reasons."
McCain also made an interesting observation about former British Prime Minister Tony Blair's work as a Mideast negotiator:
Cameron asked whether Quartet Leader Tony Blair was optimistic. McCain said he admired Blair for his steadfastness, but what McCain had noticed in international relations was the tendency of statesmen to be optimistic once they become negotiators.
The two also discussed Afghanistan, with McCain perturbed by developments in neighboring Pakistan and Cameron expressing doubts about Hamid Karzai's level of control:
Cameron told McCain that he and his party focused on Afghanistan as the key foreign police issue. This was due, not least, to the timeline for when the Conservatives might come into office (2010 or 2009 at the earliest) and the fact that British troops were meant to be out of Iraq by then. Cameron also raised Pakistan, noting that 60,000 individuals travel to Pakistan from the UK each year and that this has implications for the UK's own significant domestic "terror threat." Cameron said he was interested in exploring the idea of whether ISAF and Enduring Freedom operations could be combined, as well as whether an increase in military presence was required or an enhanced civilian presence was more important. McCain replied that Afghanistan is complicated by the uncertainty in Pakistan. "We all like Karzai," he said, "but his is a very weak government." Cameron said NATO troop capacity was "patchy" and there appeared to be perpetual problems with shortages of air transport support. McCain said he was worried about Pakistan. "If they don't cooperate and help us, I don't know what we are going to do," he said. He added, "Waziristan hasn't been ruled for 2,000 years." On a positive note, McCain praised the fighting capacity of Afghans, whom he called "great fighters." Cameron said each year he met with Karzai, and each year he had the sense Karzai's sphere of influence was shrinking.
WikiLeaked is FP’s blog dedicated to sorting through and making sense of the more than 250,000 State Department cables acquired by WikiLeaks.
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